I am an Associate Professor of Statistics in the School of Science and Technology at IE University. My research focuses on the development of machine learning algorithms and the mathematical understanding of their properties. My main areas of research are:

• Probabilistic graphical models
• Sensitivity analysis
• Applications

In particular, I have been focusing on a class of models called staged trees. Together with Gherardo Varando we have developed the stagedtrees R package, available on CRAN. A book titled "Staged Trees: With Examples in R" will be published in 2025 by CRC Press!!

Relevant Info

• I am Editor-in-Chief of vISIon: The ISI Magazine.
• I am one of the Program Chairs for the 13th International PGM Conference to be held in Valencia, Spain.
• I am a member of the ELLIS Society
• I was Editor of Bernoulli News in 2019-2023
• In 2019 I was a visiting professor in the Faculty of Medicine at McGill University

Education

• PostGraduate Certificate in Academic Practice, University of Glasgow, UK.
• PhD in Statistics, University of Warwick, UK. Thesis: Bayesian decision support in complex modular systems: An algebraic and graphical approach.
• MSc in Statistics, University of Warwick, UK. Thesis: The phase transition of random graphs.
• BSc in Mathematical Statistics and Data Management, University of Genova, Italy. Thesis: Rough paths integration of standard and fractional Brownian motion.

Recent News

[20/03/26] I received the best professor award in the Master in Business Analytics & Big Data, IE University
[20/03/26] New preprint "Estimating staged event tree models via hierarchical clustering on the simplex" now available!
[17/03/26] The article "An analysis of factors impacting team strengths in the Australian Football League using time-variant Bradley-Terry models" has now been published in the International Journal of Sports Science \& Coaching.
[15/03/26] The article "Disentangling spatial and structural drivers of housing prices through Bayesian networks: A case study of Madrid, Barcelona, and Valencia" has now been published in the Cities.
[07/01/26] The article "Uncovering drivers of EU carbon futures with Bayesian networks" has now been published in the Applied Energy.

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Manuele Leonelli